The Obama Effect: GOP Achieves Widest Lead Ever on Generic Ballot
During the national debate over ObamaCare earlier this year, President Obama attempted to soothe Congressional Democrats worried about their reelection prospects by proclaiming an enormous difference between November 1994 and November 2010. In his ever-humble words, Obama assured them, “you’ve got me.”
Replace “you” with “they,” and Obama had it just about right.
Today, even The Washington Post acknowledged that Republicans have achieved their largest lead ever on Gallup’s generic Congressional ballot (which asks respondents which party they support generally). According to Gallup, 51% of registered voters support Republicans, whereas 41% support Democrats. That marks the widest GOP margin in the history of Gallup’s generic polling, which began in 1942. By comparison, 1994 and 2002, years in which Republicans achieved substantial gains, the margin was only 5%. Even more ominously for Obama and Democrats, Gallup polled registered voters, as opposed to “likely voters.” This is a year in which Republicans and their supporters are much more motivated to vote, meaning that the electoral margin is probably even wider.
How ironic that Republicans are now the ones assuring themselves, “we’ve got Obama.”