In recent days, we at CFIF have marked the ignominious one-year anniversary of the Biden Administration…
CFIF on Twitter CFIF on YouTube
Drug Price Controls: On 9/13, Let's End the Indefensible 9-13 Small Molecule/Large Molecule Protection Disparity

In recent days, we at CFIF have marked the ignominious one-year anniversary of the Biden Administration's misnamed "Inflation Reduction Act" (IRA) by noting its particularly negative impact on pharmaceutical innovation and, in turn, the nation's health and wellbeing.

As acknowledged by the United States Senate Committee on Homeland Security  as well as groups like the American Cancer Society, Americans are already confronting alarming and unprecedented drug shortages in the wake of the IRA.

To mark today's date of September 13 - or 9/13 - it's appropriate to note a different but significant 9-13:  That refers to the indefensible distinction that the IRA makes between what are known as "small-molecule" and "large-molecule" drugs.

Specifically, the IRA imposes destructive price controls…[more]

September 13, 2023 • 03:24 PM

Liberty Update

CFIFs latest news, commentary and alerts delivered to your inbox.
The Pregame Is Over for Trump vs. DeSantis Print
By Byron York
Wednesday, May 31 2023
In any event, the preliminary season of the Republican race is over.

There's been a huge amount of commentary on former President Donald Trump's big lead over Gov. Ron DeSantis in national polls. In the current RealClearPolitics average of polls, Trump has a 30.8-point lead  53.2% to DeSantis' 22.4%. That lead, while enormous, has been shrinking in the last week; on May 20, it was 36.9 points. Now, it's six points smaller. That is something to watch in the days ahead.

But the Republican presidential nomination will not be awarded on the basis of national polls. It is, instead, a series of state contests that begins with the Iowa caucuses, moves on to the New Hampshire primary, then the South Carolina primary, then Nevada, and on from there. The early contests are incredibly important; by the time the race leaves South Carolina, the ultimate winner is usually pretty clear. 

So what is the situation in Iowa? Does Trump have a huge lead there, too? Or are Iowa Republicans spreading their support among the growing field  DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy and others? A new poll from Iowa suggests the answer is the former  Trump appears to be very, very strong in the first state that will vote in 2024.

The poll, conducted May 19-22 by Emerson College Polling, found Trump with 61.7% support, followed by DeSantis with 20.1%. Pence and Haley were tied at 4.5%, with Scott at 2.1% and Ramaswamy at 2.1%. 

"Trump's lead in the caucus reflects his numbers in Emerson's March New Hampshire primary poll, where he held a 41-point lead over DeSantis," said Spencer Kimball, executive director of the poll, in a press release. "The former president's base continues to be voters under 35, 75% of whom support Trump, and voters without a college degree: 70% support Trump. DeSantis' support is higher among voters with a postgraduate degree, with 29% support, still trailing Trump's 37% with this group."

The short version: Trump has substantial leads in every category.

Emerson also did hypothetical head-to-head Iowa matchups between Trump and President Joe Biden and between DeSantis and Biden. Strikingly, the pollsters found that, despite the disparity in their support among Republicans, both Trump and DeSantis outpolled Biden by significant margins.

In the Trump vs. Biden matchup, Trump won 48.8% to 38.4%  a margin of slightly more than 10 points. In the DeSantis vs. Biden matchup, DeSantis won 45.2% to 37.8% -- a margin of 7.4 points. The numbers suggest that, whatever the number of only-Trump voters in Iowa, both Trump and DeSantis would win a general election contest against the current president.

Where to from here? DeSantis declared his candidacy on May 24. For months prior to that, polling on the GOP race suffered from the fact that the leading candidate, Trump, had long ago declared, while the No. 2 candidate, DeSantis, had not even entered the race. Now both are official candidates and polls in the future will reflect the apples-to-apples comparison of two real campaigns.

In any event, the preliminary season of the Republican race is over. Yes, perhaps another candidate, or a few candidates, like Chris Sununu or Glenn Youngkin, might enter the race. Maybe they will have an effect. But the race has a quorum. It's on. 

The first big event of the race will be this weekend, when Iowa Republican Sen. Joni Ernst holds her big fundraiser, the "Roast and Ride," in Des Moines. All the candidates except Trump have agreed to appear. (Trump has been invited and still might show up, although that is not clear at this point.) No one will be testing the waters anymore. It's time to go.

Byron York is chief political correspondent for The Washington Examiner


Notable Quote   
"The 2024 presidential election is over a year away, but the left's legal assault on common-sense election integrity measures has already begun.Last month, a district court in San Antonio ruled that Texas cannot enforce the provision of Senate Bill 1 which established a voter identification requirement for mail in voting in Texas. The next day, a district court in Atlanta ruled against Georgia Senate…[more]
— Chad Ennis, Vice President of Honest Elections Project
Liberty Poll   

In your opinion, how likely is a federal government shutdown at the end of September, based on budgetary and other disagreements in the fractured House of Representatives?